NPDev FinPulse · A little more market clarity.

Public prediction markets

Polymarket odds.
Scored honestly.

Markets discovered from Polymarket's public API, with its own implied probability and, where the public record supports one, an independent estimate from the NVIDIA Kumo Relational model.

Discovery coverage — open: 16857 markets over 8 pages · resolved: 412 markets over 8 pages · 997 cached model estimates. Every number is cached locally; reading this page never calls a provider.

412 matching markets · newest discovery first within each scope

Will Alexa Schull / Ava Cavataio win the 2026 PPA: PPA Finals (Women's Doubles) tournament?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 23?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

Exact Score: AA Internacional Limeira SP 2 - 3 Paysandu SC PA?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Uncategorised · Resolved Yes · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"100.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 100.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

Exact Score: Dinamo 1948 2 - 1 FC UTA Arad?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

Exact Score: Willem II Tilburg 0 - 3 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

Exact Score: FC Slovan Liberec 4 - 0 1. FC Slovácko?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

Ethereum above 2,440 on April 18, 4AM ET?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 27?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 79°F or below on August 23?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of October 19 2026?

Uncategorised · Resolved No · 100 USDC tracked volume

Polymarket-implied "Yes"0.0%
Polymarket-implied "Yes": 0.0 percent

Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.

NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate: unavailable

No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.

Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.

How these numbers are produced

Polymarket publishes a market's own last-traded price, which is its implied probability. That is market-derived evidence: it is the crowd's aggregate view, and it is shown separately from anything else.

The model estimate comes from a supervised relational model asked to predict how the market eventually resolves. It learns only from markets that have already settled, described only by what was observable a fixed horizon before their resolution — pre-resolution price paths, public trade history, and order-book snapshots recorded before the market ended. A market's outcome, final price and final volume are never inputs.

Order books are only published as a live snapshot, so no historical book exists to learn from; the section therefore records durable timestamped snapshots from now on, and reports book features as missing — never as zero — wherever none was recorded before an anchor.

Not investment advice. Prediction markets carry risk of total loss.