Markets discovered from Polymarket's public API, with its own implied probability and, where the public record supports one, an independent estimate from the NVIDIA Kumo Relational model.
Discovery coverage — open: 16823 markets over 8 pages · resolved: 412 markets over 8 pages · 997 cached model estimates. Every number is cached locally; reading this page never calls a provider.
16823 matching markets · newest discovery first within each scope
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No estimate is published for this market: rejected.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No cached estimate yet. Estimates are produced in the background and are never generated by a page view.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimate23.7%
Cached model estimate of the eventual "Yes" outcome from 120 resolved markets. Generated Sep 23, 2026 · 16:54 UTC. Refresh status: ready. Not independent evidence.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No estimate is published for this market: rejected.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No estimate is published for this market: rejected.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No estimate is published for this market: rejected.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No estimate is published for this market: rejected.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No estimate is published for this market: rejected.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No estimate is published for this market: rejected.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
Polymarket's own last-traded price for the first outcome, shown as a probability.
NVIDIA Kumo Relational estimateUnavailable
No estimate is published for this market: rejected.
Two separate numbers: the market's own last-traded price is market-derived evidence; the model estimate is a different, independent method. Neither is a recommendation.
How these numbers are produced
Polymarket publishes a market's own last-traded price, which is its implied probability. That is market-derived evidence: it is the crowd's aggregate view, and it is shown separately from anything else.
The model estimate comes from a supervised relational model asked to predict how the market eventually resolves. It learns only from markets that have already settled, described only by what was observable a fixed horizon before their resolution — pre-resolution price paths, public trade history, and order-book snapshots recorded before the market ended. A market's outcome, final price and final volume are never inputs.
Order books are only published as a live snapshot, so no historical book exists to learn from; the section therefore records durable timestamped snapshots from now on, and reports book features as missing — never as zero — wherever none was recorded before an anchor.
Not investment advice. Prediction markets carry risk of total loss.